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Daniel Steven O'toole

ARAI
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER · ARRIVE AI INC. · CIK 0002070148
FILING MIX · LIFETIME50%/50%
BUYS
1
SELLS
1
TOTAL VALUE
$6.06M
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Jun 2025
HOLDINGS NOW
23,155,051
AVG SELL PX
$13.85
TRADE KIND
SHOWING 2 / 2
Trades · vs SPY
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Performance · forward returns vs SPY
2 backtested trades · 8 horizons · 3 pendingHow are these numbers computed? →
Forward-return performance of every backtestable P/S trade by Daniel Steven O'toole, measured at 8 horizons from 7 days to 2 years. Deduped per economic event so co-filings count once. Excess return = trade return minus SPY return over the same window.
HORIZONTRADESWIN RATEINSIDER RETURNSPY RETURNMEAN EXCESSMEDIAN EXCESST-STAT
7d2+100.00%-10.99%+0.67%-11.66%-11.66%
14d2+100.00%-6.57%+1.93%-8.50%-8.50%
30d2+50.00%-13.10%+3.13%-16.23%-16.23%
60d2+50.00%-28.97%+5.22%-34.19%-34.19%
90d2+50.00%-64.90%+5.52%-70.42%-70.42%
180d2+50.00%-72.27%+12.91%-85.18%-85.18%
1y2(1 pending)+100.00%-95.28%+22.21%-117.49%-117.49%
2y2(2 pending)
How to read this: Insider Returnis the average raw return of the filer's trades over the horizon. SPY Return is what SPY did over those same windows — reference only, not a comparison. The headline alpha number is Mean Excess = Insider − SPY; green means the filer beat SPY, red means they trailed it. Win rate is the share of individual trades where the filer beat SPY. T-statvalues above 2 mean the alpha is unlikely to be chance given the sample size. "Pending" counts trades where the horizon hasn't elapsed yet; their stats are not included in the row average.
Holdings over time
ARAI · 23,155,051 shares · as of Nov 18, 2025
05,788,76311,577,52617,366,28823,155,051SHARES HELD
Trading cadence · quarterly flow
BUY SELL
2025
2025
2025
FLOW · 1 buys / 1 sellsCOVERAGE · 3 quarters
Form 4 filings · all activity
COMPANYTYPESHARESPRICEVALUEHELD AFTERTRADE DATEFILEDDETAILS
ARAI
ARRIVE AI INC.
PURCHASE
Chief Executive Officer
11,142$3.50$39.0K23,155,051Nov 18, 2025Nov 19, 2025View →
ARAI
ARRIVE AI INC.
SALE
Chief Executive Officer
434,672$13.85$6.02M23,143,909Jun 10, 2025Jun 12, 2025View →
Other insiders · ARAI
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About this filer
CIK 0002070148
ROLE
Chief Executive Officer
PRIMARY
ARAI
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Jun 2025
MARKETPEEL · /INSIDER/0002070148DATA · SEC EDGAR · FORM 4 · CONSOLIDATED TAPE
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