MarketPeel
Insider Trading Intelligence
LR

Lorin Radtke

AGO
DIRECTOR · ASSURED GUARANTY LTD · CIK 0001859355
FILING MIX · LIFETIME46%/54%
BUYS
6
SELLS
7
TOTAL VALUE
$343.8K
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
May 2021
HOLDINGS NOW
9,307
AVG SELL PX
$75.01
TRADE KIND
SHOWING 13 / 13
Trades · vs SPY
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Performance · forward returns vs SPY
1 backtested trades · 8 horizons · 3 pendingHow are these numbers computed? →
Forward-return performance of every backtestable P/S trade by Lorin Radtke, measured at 8 horizons from 7 days to 2 years. Deduped per economic event so co-filings count once. Excess return = trade return minus SPY return over the same window.
HORIZONTRADESWIN RATEINSIDER RETURNSPY RETURNMEAN EXCESSMEDIAN EXCESST-STAT
7d1+100.00%-3.76%-1.28%-2.48%-2.48%
14d1+100.00%-5.72%-3.46%-2.27%-2.27%
30d1+100.00%-7.33%-4.28%-3.06%-3.06%
60d1+100.00%-6.60%+4.80%-11.40%-11.40%
90d1+100.00%-15.39%
180d1(1 pending)
1y1(1 pending)
2y1(1 pending)
How to read this: Insider Returnis the average raw return of the filer's trades over the horizon. SPY Return is what SPY did over those same windows — reference only, not a comparison. The headline alpha number is Mean Excess = Insider − SPY; green means the filer beat SPY, red means they trailed it. Win rate is the share of individual trades where the filer beat SPY. T-statvalues above 2 mean the alpha is unlikely to be chance given the sample size. "Pending" counts trades where the horizon hasn't elapsed yet; their stats are not included in the row average.
Holdings over time
AGO · 9,307 shares · as of May 29, 2026
02,5895,1777,76610,35420222023202420252026SHARES HELD
Trading cadence · quarterly flow
BUY SELL
2021
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
2022
2023
2023
2023
2023
2024
2024
2024
2024
2025
2025
2025
2025
2026
2026
FLOW · 6 buys / 7 sellsCOVERAGE · 21 quarters
Form 4 filings · all activity
COMPANYTYPESHARESPRICEVALUEHELD AFTERTRADE DATEFILEDDETAILS
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
1,047$74.32$77.8K9,307May 29, 2026Jun 1, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
2,42210,354May 1, 2026May 4, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
365$81.90$29.9K7,932Apr 30, 2026May 4, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
1,219$87.14$106.2K8,297Mar 4, 2026Mar 5, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
1,7069,516May 2, 2025May 5, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
371$87.51$32.5K7,810May 1, 2025May 5, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
1,7258,181May 2, 2024May 3, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
450$77.05$34.7K6,456May 1, 2024May 3, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
2,7756,906May 3, 2023May 4, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
522$52.77$27.5K4,131May 2, 2023May 4, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
2,4384,653May 4, 2022May 5, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
609$57.71$35.1K2,215May 3, 2022May 5, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
2,8242,824May 5, 2021May 6, 2021View →
Other insiders · AGO
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About this filer
CIK 0001859355
ROLE
Director
PRIMARY
AGO
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
May 2021
MARKETPEEL · /INSIDER/0001859355DATA · SEC EDGAR · FORM 4 · CONSOLIDATED TAPE
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