MarketPeel
Insider Trading Intelligence
SK

Scott Michael Kernan

GEO
DIRECTOR · GEO GROUP INC · CIK 0001753018
FILING MIX · LIFETIME67%/33%
BUYS
8
SELLS
4
TOTAL VALUE
$340.8K
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Mar 2020
HOLDINGS NOW
37,294
AVG SELL PX
$15.13
TRADE KIND
SHOWING 12 / 12
Trades · vs SPY
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Performance · forward returns vs SPY
4 backtested trades · 8 horizons · 4 pending
Forward-return performance of every backtestable P/S trade by Scott Michael Kernan, measured at 8 horizons from 7 days to 2 years. Deduped per economic event so co-filings count once. Excess return = trade return minus SPY return over the same window.
HORIZONTRADESWIN RATEINSIDER RETURNSPY RETURNMEAN EXCESSMEDIAN EXCESST-STAT
7d4+50.00%+1.71%+0.19%+1.52%-1.21%
14d4+25.00%+10.43%-0.37%+10.80%+12.14%
30d4+50.00%+8.74%+0.01%+8.74%+9.84%
60d4+25.00%+12.48%+3.13%+9.34%+11.71%
90d4+50.00%+14.95%+5.57%-2.52%-7.75%
180d4(1 pending)+33.33%+39.15%+11.35%+27.80%+29.98%
1y4(1 pending)+33.33%+44.36%+19.27%+25.08%+53.15%
2y4(2 pending)+0.00%+156.47%+41.95%+114.52%+114.52%
How to read this: Insider Returnis the average raw return of the filer's trades over the horizon. SPY Return is what SPY did over those same windows — reference only, not a comparison. The headline alpha number is Mean Excess = Insider − SPY; green means the filer beat SPY, red means they trailed it. Win rate is the share of individual trades where the filer beat SPY. T-statvalues above 2 mean the alpha is unlikely to be chance given the sample size. "Pending" counts trades where the horizon hasn't elapsed yet; their stats are not included in the row average.
Holdings over time
GEO · 37,294 shares · as of Mar 6, 2026
09,32418,64727,97137,294202120222023202420252026SHARES HELD
Trading cadence · quarterly flow
BUY SELL
2020
2020
2020
2020
2021
2021
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
2022
2023
2023
2023
2023
2024
2024
2024
2024
2025
2025
2025
2025
2026
FLOW · 8 buys / 4 sellsCOVERAGE · 25 quarters
Form 4 filings · all activity
COMPANYTYPESHARESPRICEVALUEHELD AFTERTRADE DATEFILEDDETAILS
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
10,24637,294Mar 6, 2026Mar 10, 2026View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
SALE10b5-1
10b5-1 plan
6,633$15.24$101.1K27,062Mar 4, 2026Mar 6, 2026View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
SALE
5,800$22.68$131.5K32,266Mar 10, 2025Mar 12, 2025View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
5,71928,477Mar 3, 2025Mar 5, 2025View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
SALE
5,300$13.62$72.2K23,936May 21, 2024May 28, 2024View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
11,16636,888Mar 1, 2024Mar 5, 2024View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
SALE
4,800$7.50$36.0K17,896Jun 12, 2023Jun 14, 2023View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
14,88437,062Mar 1, 2023Mar 3, 2023View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
17,36232,271Mar 1, 2022Mar 3, 2022View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
3,11221,787Mar 18, 2021Mar 22, 2021View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
10,00018,675Mar 1, 2021Mar 3, 2021View →
GEO
GEO GROUP INC
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
5,90012,275Mar 1, 2020Mar 3, 2020View →
Other insiders · GEO
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About this filer
CIK 0001753018
ROLE
Director
PRIMARY
GEO
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Mar 2020
MARKETPEEL · /INSIDER/0001753018DATA · SEC EDGAR · FORM 4 · CONSOLIDATED TAPE
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