Robert J. Cicero

SWBI

SEE REMARKS · SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC. · CIK 0001548337

FILING MIX · LIFETIME43%/57%

BUYS

SELLS

TOTAL VALUE

$925.6K

COMPANIES

ACTIVE SINCE

Mar 2020

HOLDINGS NOW

87,357

AVG SELL PX

$17.79

Trades · vs SPY

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Performance · forward returns vs SPY

3 backtested trades · 8 horizons

Forward-return performance of every backtestable P/S trade by Robert J. Cicero, measured at 8 horizons from 7 days to 2 years. Deduped per economic event so co-filings count once. Excess return = trade return minus SPY return over the same window.

HORIZON	TRADES	WIN RATE	INSIDER RETURN	SPY RETURN	MEAN EXCESS	MEDIAN EXCESS	T-STAT
7d	3	+66.67%	+0.56%	-2.40%	+2.97%	+0.31%	—
14d	3	+66.67%	+0.31%	+0.45%	-0.13%	-3.26%	—
30d	3	+33.33%	-1.69%	+3.03%	-4.71%	+0.27%	—
60d	3	+100.00%	-5.29%	+6.74%	-12.03%	-7.93%	—
90d	3	+33.33%	-3.72%	+7.50%	-11.22%	-2.96%	—
180d	3	+33.33%	-1.24%	+15.31%	-16.55%	-2.60%	—
1y	3	+33.33%	+3.25%	+19.43%	-16.18%	-3.71%	—
2y	3	+100.00%	-37.16%	+13.93%	-51.09%	-45.45%	—

How to read this: Insider Returnis the average raw return of the filer's trades over the horizon. SPY Return is what SPY did over those same windows — reference only, not a comparison. The headline alpha number is Mean Excess = Insider − SPY; green means the filer beat SPY, red means they trailed it. Win rate is the share of individual trades where the filer beat SPY. T-statvalues above 2 mean the alpha is unlikely to be chance given the sample size. "Pending" counts trades where the horizon hasn't elapsed yet; their stats are not included in the row average.

Holdings over time

SWBI · 87,357 shares · as of Jun 21, 2021

Trading cadence · quarterly flow

BUY ● SELL ●

2020

2021

FLOW · 6 buys / 8 sellsCOVERAGE · 6 quarters

Form 4 filings · all activity

COMPANY	TYPE	SHARES	PRICE	VALUE	HELD AFTER	TRADE DATE	FILED
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	8,834	$24.28	$214.5K	87,357	Jun 21, 2021	Jun 22, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	940	$19.63	$18.5K	96,191	May 18, 2021	May 19, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	PURCHASE See Remarks	28,800	—	—	97,131	May 18, 2021	May 19, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	28,800	—	—	0	May 18, 2021	May 19, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	PURCHASEGRANT Stock grant	20,888	—	—	20,888	May 3, 2021	May 4, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	PURCHASEGRANT Stock grant	6,963	—	—	68,331	May 3, 2021	May 4, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	3,434	$18.67	$64.1K	61,368	May 1, 2021	May 4, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	452	$17.40	$7.9K	64,802	May 1, 2021	May 4, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	540	$16.69	$9.0K	65,254	Mar 6, 2021	Mar 9, 2021 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	36,858	$16.17	$596.0K	65,794	Sep 16, 2020	Sep 18, 2020 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	SALE See Remarks	969	$16.23	$15.7K	102,652	Sep 16, 2020	Sep 18, 2020 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	PURCHASEGRANT Stock grant	10,000	—	—	103,621	Sep 8, 2020	Sep 10, 2020 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	PURCHASEGRANT Stock grant	16,026	—	—	97,723	Apr 6, 2020	Aug 14, 2020 ↗
SWBI SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.	PURCHASEGRANT Stock grant	8,000	—	—	81,697	Mar 6, 2020	Sep 10, 2020 ↗

Other insiders · SWBI

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About this filer

CIK 0001548337

ROLE

See Remarks

PRIMARY

SWBI

COMPANIES

ACTIVE SINCE

Mar 2020

MARKETPEEL · /INSIDER/0001548337DATA · SEC EDGAR · FORM 4 · CONSOLIDATED TAPE

Robert J. Cicero

The morning brief, before the bell.