MarketPeel
Insider Trading Intelligence
RB

Robert Bailenson

AGO
CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER · ASSURED GUARANTY LTD · CIK 0001326822
FILING MIX · LIFETIME38%/62%
BUYS
20
SELLS
32
TOTAL VALUE
$28.23M
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Feb 2020
HOLDINGS NOW
256,251
AVG SELL PX
$71.97
TRADE KIND
SHOWING 52 / 52
Trades · vs SPY
Loading price series…
Performance · forward returns vs SPY
12 backtested trades · 8 horizons · 13 pendingHow are these numbers computed? →
Forward-return performance of every backtestable P/S trade by Robert Bailenson, measured at 8 horizons from 7 days to 2 years. Deduped per economic event so co-filings count once. Excess return = trade return minus SPY return over the same window.
HORIZONTRADESWIN RATEINSIDER RETURNSPY RETURNMEAN EXCESSMEDIAN EXCESST-STAT
7d12+66.67%-1.72%+0.89%-2.62%-2.18%
14d12+58.33%-0.93%+0.91%-1.52%+0.51%
30d12+50.00%+1.20%+0.91%+0.30%+0.07%
60d12(2 pending)+60.00%-1.28%-0.56%-0.71%-2.12%
90d12(2 pending)+40.00%+5.44%+1.37%+4.08%+3.75%
180d12(2 pending)+30.00%+15.92%+7.27%+8.65%-2.98%
1y12(3 pending)+11.11%+17.24%+15.25%+1.99%+3.69%
2y12(4 pending)+25.00%+33.56%+41.24%-7.68%-7.89%
How to read this: Insider Returnis the average raw return of the filer's trades over the horizon. SPY Return is what SPY did over those same windows — reference only, not a comparison. The headline alpha number is Mean Excess = Insider − SPY; green means the filer beat SPY, red means they trailed it. Win rate is the share of individual trades where the filer beat SPY. T-statvalues above 2 mean the alpha is unlikely to be chance given the sample size. "Pending" counts trades where the horizon hasn't elapsed yet; their stats are not included in the row average.
Holdings over time
AGO · 256,251.082 shares · as of May 11, 2026
087,008174,016261,023348,031202120222023202420252026SHARES HELD
Trading cadence · quarterly flow
BUY SELL
2020
2020
2020
2020
2021
2021
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
2022
2023
2023
2023
2023
2024
2024
2024
2024
2025
2025
2025
2025
2026
2026
FLOW · 20 buys / 32 sellsCOVERAGE · 26 quarters
Form 4 filings · all activity
COMPANYTYPESHARESPRICEVALUEHELD AFTERTRADE DATEFILEDDETAILS
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
32,353$78.82$2.55M256,251.082May 11, 2026May 12, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
17,647$78.24$1.38M288,604.082May 11, 2026May 12, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
7,806306,251.082May 1, 2026May 4, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
9,494$85.11$808.0K298,445.082Feb 23, 2026Feb 25, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
5,634$88.39$498.0K299,865.082Feb 22, 2026Feb 24, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
8,422$88.39$744.4K307,939.082Feb 22, 2026Feb 24, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
16,496316,361.082Feb 22, 2026Feb 24, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
13,771305,499.082Feb 20, 2026Feb 24, 2026View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
40,000$81.51$3.26M291,728.082Aug 11, 2025Aug 12, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
16,303$90.80$1.48M331,728.082Feb 24, 2025Feb 26, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
5,936$89.81$533.1K320,916.082Feb 23, 2025Feb 24, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
17,404338,320.082Feb 23, 2025Feb 24, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
18,596348,031.082Feb 23, 2025Feb 24, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
8,885$89.81$798.0K329,435.082Feb 23, 2025Feb 24, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
14,061293,896.082Feb 19, 2025Feb 21, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
32,956326,852.082Feb 19, 2025Feb 21, 2025View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
25,000$93.44$2.34M279,835.082Nov 26, 2024Nov 27, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
569$81.00$46.1K304,835.082May 9, 2024May 10, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
29,431$79.92$2.35M305,404.082May 9, 2024May 10, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
9,418$85.69$807.0K334,835.082Feb 26, 2024Feb 28, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
8,714$84.93$740.1K299,813.082Feb 24, 2024Feb 26, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
31,935344,253.082Feb 24, 2024Feb 26, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Operating Officer
13,043$84.93$1.11M312,318.082Feb 24, 2024Feb 26, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
25,548325,361.082Feb 24, 2024Feb 26, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
11,591308,527.082Feb 21, 2024Feb 23, 2024View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
9,206$58.31$536.8K297,730.082Aug 24, 2023Aug 28, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
794$58.53$46.5K296,936.082Aug 24, 2023Aug 28, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
10,000$57.35$573.5K306,936.082Aug 23, 2023Aug 24, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
10,000$57.19$571.9K316,936.082Aug 22, 2023Aug 24, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
4,563$62.05$283.1K326,936.082Feb 27, 2023Mar 1, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
6,485$62.55$405.6K303,749.082Feb 26, 2023Feb 28, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
18,448331,499.082Feb 26, 2023Feb 28, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
19,004322,753.082Feb 26, 2023Feb 28, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
9,702$62.55$606.9K313,051.082Feb 26, 2023Feb 28, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
10,998310,234.082Feb 22, 2023Feb 24, 2023View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
6,583$59.83$393.9K299,236.082Mar 2, 2022Mar 2, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
33,417$58.90$1.97M305,819.082Mar 1, 2022Mar 2, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
7,643$63.64$486.4K319,313.082Feb 27, 2022Mar 1, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
11,458$63.64$729.2K330,299.082Feb 27, 2022Mar 1, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
8,937339,236.082Feb 27, 2022Mar 1, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
22,444341,757.082Feb 27, 2022Mar 1, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
11,602326,956.082Feb 23, 2022Feb 25, 2022View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
17,032315,354.082Feb 24, 2021Feb 26, 2021View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASE
Chief Financial Officer
38,562317,206.082Feb 21, 2021Feb 23, 2021View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
10,507$39.50$415.0K278,644.082Feb 21, 2021Feb 23, 2021View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
18,884$39.50$745.9K298,322.082Feb 21, 2021Feb 23, 2021View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
21,4530Feb 21, 2021Feb 23, 2021View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
12,669289,151.082Feb 26, 2020Feb 28, 2020View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
14,152$46.30$655.2K276,482.082Feb 22, 2020Feb 25, 2020View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
PURCHASE
Chief Financial Officer
28,898290,634.082Feb 22, 2020Feb 25, 2020View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
16,37321,453Feb 22, 2020Feb 25, 2020View →
AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
SALE
Chief Financial Officer
8,031$46.30$371.8K261,736.082Feb 22, 2020Feb 25, 2020View →
Other insiders · AGO
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About this filer
CIK 0001326822
ROLE
Chief Operating Officer
PRIMARY
AGO
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Feb 2020
MARKETPEEL · /INSIDER/0001326822DATA · SEC EDGAR · FORM 4 · CONSOLIDATED TAPE
FREE · DAILY · 6 AM ET

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