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Insider Trading Intelligence
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PS

Paul E. Shapiro

TOL
DIRECTOR · TOLL BROTHERS, INC. · CIK 0001191311
FILING MIX · LIFETIME35%/65%
BUYS
21
SELLS
39
TOTAL VALUE
$7.05M
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Jan 2020
HOLDINGS NOW
120,335
AVG SELL PX
$86.78
TRADE KIND
SHOWING 60 / 60
Trades · vs SPY
Loading price series…
Performance · forward returns vs SPY
12 backtested trades · 8 horizons · 7 pendingHow are these numbers computed? →
Forward-return performance of every backtestable P/S trade by Paul E. Shapiro, measured at 8 horizons from 7 days to 2 years. Deduped per economic event so co-filings count once. Excess return = trade return minus SPY return over the same window.
HORIZONTRADESWIN RATEINSIDER RETURNSPY RETURNMEAN EXCESSMEDIAN EXCESST-STAT
7d12+58.33%+0.25%-0.06%+0.31%-0.68%—
14d12+58.33%-0.09%-0.14%+0.06%-0.79%—
30d12+58.33%+2.25%+0.49%+1.77%+0.89%—
60d12+50.00%+7.13%+4.12%+3.01%-0.28%—
90d12+41.67%+9.53%+5.85%+3.68%+0.95%—
180d12(1 pending)+9.09%+24.20%+11.73%+12.46%+12.29%—
1y12(2 pending)+10.00%+53.29%+24.36%+28.93%+23.33%—
2y12(4 pending)+12.50%+66.14%+43.19%+22.95%+11.87%—
How to read this: Insider Returnis the average raw return of the filer's trades over the horizon. SPY Return is what SPY did over those same windows — reference only, not a comparison. The headline alpha number is Mean Excess = Insider − SPY; green means the filer beat SPY, red means they trailed it. Win rate is the share of individual trades where the filer beat SPY. T-statvalues above 2 mean the alpha is unlikely to be chance given the sample size. "Pending" counts trades where the horizon hasn't elapsed yet; their stats are not included in the row average.
Holdings over time
TOL · 120,335 shares · as of Jan 19, 2026
034,27568,549102,824137,098202120222023202420252026SHARES HELD
Trading cadence · quarterly flow
BUY ● SELL ●
2020
2020
2020
2020
2021
2021
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
2022
2023
2023
2023
2023
2024
2024
2024
2024
2025
2025
2025
2025
2026
FLOW · 21 buys / 39 sellsCOVERAGE · 25 quarters
Form 4 filings · all activity
COMPANYTYPESHARESPRICEVALUEHELD AFTERTRADE DATEFILEDDETAILS
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
1,655——0Jan 19, 2026Jan 20, 2026 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
1,655——120,335Jan 19, 2026Jan 20, 2026 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,965$146.68$581.6K118,680Jan 15, 2026Jan 16, 2026 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,965$31.61$125.3K122,645Jan 15, 2026Jan 16, 2026 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,965——0Jan 15, 2026Jan 16, 2026 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
73——118,680Jan 9, 2026Jan 12, 2026 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
1,495——1,495Dec 22, 2025Dec 23, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,812——0Sep 5, 2025Sep 8, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,812$147.65$562.8K118,753Sep 5, 2025Sep 8, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,812$32.85$125.2K122,565Sep 5, 2025Sep 8, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
7,000$106.97$748.8K118,753Mar 11, 2025Mar 12, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
2,007——125,753Jan 19, 2025Jan 22, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
2,007——0Jan 19, 2025Jan 22, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,891——123,746Jan 18, 2025Jan 22, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,891——0Jan 18, 2025Jan 22, 2025 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
82——119,855Dec 27, 2024Dec 27, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
1,655——1,655Dec 19, 2024Dec 23, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,837——0Dec 16, 2024Dec 17, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,837$134.14$514.7K119,937Dec 16, 2024Dec 17, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,837$32.49$124.7K123,774Dec 16, 2024Dec 17, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
170——119,937Jun 6, 2024Jun 7, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
2,500$123.22$308.1K120,107Apr 3, 2024Apr 3, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
2,903——122,607Jan 20, 2024Jan 22, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
2,903——0Jan 20, 2024Jan 22, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
10,000$99.70$997.0K119,704Jan 5, 2024Jan 8, 2024 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
2,007——2,007Dec 20, 2023Dec 22, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
104——129,704Dec 15, 2023Dec 15, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,518——0Dec 7, 2023Dec 11, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,518$35.16$123.7K133,551Dec 7, 2023Dec 11, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
225——133,326Dec 7, 2023Dec 11, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,518$91.41$321.6K129,808Dec 7, 2023Dec 11, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
1,000$73.36$73.4K130,033Oct 17, 2023Oct 18, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
65——131,033Jun 30, 2023Jul 3, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
5,000$59.94$299.7K131,098Apr 13, 2023Apr 14, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
1,000$58.39$58.4K136,098Feb 23, 2023Feb 24, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,911——137,098Jan 20, 2023Jan 23, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,911——0Jan 20, 2023Jan 23, 2023 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
3,891——3,891Dec 19, 2022Dec 20, 2022 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
200——133,187Dec 13, 2022Dec 20, 2022 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,706——0Dec 8, 2022Dec 9, 2022 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,706$32.22$119.4K137,093Dec 8, 2022Dec 9, 2022 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,706$49.59$183.8K133,387Dec 8, 2022Dec 9, 2022 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
4,555——133,387Jan 18, 2022Jan 20, 2022 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
4,555——0Jan 18, 2022Jan 20, 2022 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
2,903——2,903Dec 20, 2021Dec 22, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
4,862$72.72$353.6K128,972Dec 9, 2021Dec 10, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
140——128,832Dec 9, 2021Dec 10, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
17,250——0Dec 9, 2021Dec 10, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
17,250$20.50$353.6K133,834Dec 9, 2021Dec 10, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
160——116,584Jun 17, 2021Jun 22, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
440——116,744Jun 14, 2021Jun 22, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
5,138——0Jan 19, 2021Jan 20, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
5,138——117,184Jan 19, 2021Jan 20, 2021 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASEGRANT
Stock grant
3,911——3,911Dec 21, 2020Dec 22, 2020 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALEGRANT
Gift
220——112,046Dec 10, 2020Dec 22, 2020 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
16,250$46.97$763.3K112,266Sep 22, 2020Sep 22, 2020 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
16,250$19.32$313.9K128,516Sep 22, 2020Sep 22, 2020 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
16,250——0Sep 22, 2020Sep 22, 2020 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
PURCHASE
3,482——112,266Jan 17, 2020Jan 21, 2020 ↗View →
TOL
TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
SALE
3,482——0Jan 17, 2020Jan 21, 2020 ↗View →
Other insiders · TOL
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About this filer
CIK 0001191311
ROLE
Director
PRIMARY
TOL
COMPANIES
1
ACTIVE SINCE
Jan 2020
MARKETPEEL · /INSIDER/0001191311DATA · SEC EDGAR · FORM 4 · CONSOLIDATED TAPE
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